A North American trade conflict would have widespread consequences, impacting various aspects of life, including economic stability, job security, and access to essential goods. However, one of the more overlooked consequences of such a conflict is its effect on wellness. The well-being of Canadians—physically, mentally, and financially—would be significantly affected by rising costs, economic uncertainty, and disruptions to healthcare and nutrition.

Rising Costs and Financial Stress

Economic instability caused by a trade war can lead to increased prices for essential goods, including food, fuel, and medications. As tariffs drive up costs, businesses pass the burden onto consumers, making daily necessities less affordable. Rising living expenses contribute to financial stress, which is a leading cause of anxiety and mental health struggles.

For lower-income households and vulnerable populations, the effects could be particularly harsh, as they already struggle to afford basic needs. Financial stress is closely linked to increased rates of depression, substance abuse, and even chronic illnesses. Without financial stability, many Canadians may find it difficult to maintain a balanced lifestyle, affecting their overall wellness.

Food Security and Nutritional Health

Canada relies heavily on U.S. imports for fresh produce, dairy, and processed foods. If tariffs are imposed on these goods, food prices could surge, making it more difficult for Canadians to access nutritious meals. Rising food costs often push families toward cheaper, less healthy alternatives, increasing the risk of diet-related health issues such as obesity, diabetes, and heart disease.

Food insecurity, already a problem in many parts of Canada, could become a crisis if a trade war significantly disrupts supply chains. Nonprofit organizations and food banks would face increased demand, placing additional strain on resources meant to support struggling households.

Healthcare Access and Pharmaceutical Costs

The healthcare system in Canada, while publicly funded, is still dependent on medical supplies and pharmaceuticals sourced from the U.S. Any trade restrictions affecting medical imports could lead to shortages of critical medications, including insulin, antibiotics, and life-saving treatments. Increased costs for pharmaceuticals would place a heavier burden on both the government and individual Canadians, potentially delaying access to necessary treatments and medications.

Beyond prescription drugs, the impact on medical technology and supplies could slow down the efficiency of healthcare services, affecting wait times and overall patient care. In turn, these disruptions could worsen health outcomes, particularly for those with chronic illnesses or conditions requiring ongoing treatment.

Mental Health and Community Well-Being

The uncertainty and economic strain caused by a trade war would inevitably take a toll on mental health. Job losses, financial struggles, and increased cost of living would all contribute to heightened anxiety and stress. In times of economic hardship, there is often an increase in mental health conditions, substance abuse, and even suicide rates.

Furthermore, reduced government revenues from trade-related losses may lead to budget cuts in social services, including mental health programs and community support initiatives. These cuts could leave those in need without crucial resources, exacerbating the wellness crisis.

A Threat to National Wellness

A U.S.-Canada trade war would not only affect the economy but also have deep and lasting impacts on the well-being of Canadians. Financial stress, food insecurity, healthcare disruptions, and mental health challenges would all intensify, making everyday life more difficult for millions of people. To protect national wellness, policymakers must work to prevent trade conflicts, secure supply chains, and invest in social programs that mitigate the negative effects of economic instability.